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Market analysis

Paris property market trends: 2026 analysis

The Paris property market in 2026 is defined by a stabilisation after correction. Transaction volume in Paris has dropped 25% over the past 12 months, while mortgage rates average around 3.2%. Home Select, completing over 100 transactions per year since 2011, observes a gradual return of solvent buyers and attractive negotiation margins.

11 865 €

average price / m²

-12%

since 2022 peak

3.2%

average mortgage rate

6-8%

negotiation margin

Market conditions 2026

The Paris property market has undergone a significant correction since the 2022 peak. Prices have fallen 10-15% depending on the district, with marked variations between areas. This correction is mainly driven by the sharp rise in mortgage rates (from 1% to over 4% in 18 months), which excluded many buyers from the market.

In 2026, the market is entering a phase of stabilisation. Mortgage rates, after peaking at 4.5% at the end of 2023, are settling around 3-3.5%. The ECB has begun a monetary easing policy, and banks are regaining appetite for mortgage lending, with loosening approval criteria.

Structural support factors remain in place: scarcity of supply in Paris (no new construction possible), international attractiveness of the capital, and sustained rental demand. These elements limit the risk of a deeper correction.

Price evolution by area

Prime districts (6th, 7th, 4th)

-5 to -8%

Limited correction. Scarcity of supply and sustained international demand protect these areas. Exceptional properties (views, terrace, period features) are holding particularly well.

Established Right Bank (8th, 9th, 16th, 17th)

-8 to -12%

Average correction. Gradual return of buyers for quality properties. Well-located family apartments are finding buyers with reasonable negotiation.

Eastern Paris (10th, 11th, 12th, 20th)

-10 to -14%

More pronounced correction. These areas, which had risen sharply, are experiencing a stronger adjustment. Opportunities for first-time buyers with solid profiles.

Northern periphery (18th, 19th)

-12 to -15%

Significant correction. Attractive prices but longer selling times. Long-term appreciation potential for patient buyers.

Transaction volume

-25%

volume vs 2022

+30%

available supply

50 days

average time

The number of transactions in Paris has dropped 25% compared to the 2022 peak. This decline is accompanied by a 30% increase in available supply, resulting in longer selling times and a balance of power favourable to buyers.

Market data shows that transactions now concentrate on two segments: small units (studios, 1-beds) which remain liquid thanks to investors, and prestige properties (1M€+) where international buyers, often with no need for financing, maintain sustained demand.

What we observe on the ground

Home Select Insights

Off-market is back : well-advised sellers prefer discretion. Our hunters access 20-30% of properties never listed on portals.

Negotiation is possible again : our hunters achieve an average of 6% below asking price, compared to 2-3% in 2021-2022.

Energy rating is decisive : poorly rated properties (F-G) suffer 15-20% discounts. Renovated properties with good ratings sell faster and at better prices.

International buyers are active : American, British and Gulf buyers are taking advantage of the weak euro and Paris’s favourable post-Brexit positioning.

About Paris market trends

How have Paris property prices evolved in 2026?
After a decade of growth (from 8,100 EUR/sqm in 2016 to a peak of 10,900 EUR/sqm in late 2020), Paris property prices corrected by 10 to 15% between 2022 and 2025 as mortgage rates rose. In 2026 the market is stabilising around 10,600 EUR/sqm, ahead of a slight recovery expected in 2027.
Will property prices fall in Paris in 2026?
After a 10-15% correction between 2022 and 2025, prices are stabilising in 2026. Our central scenario (60% probability) foresees stabilisation by end of 2026 followed by a slight recovery (+2-3%) in 2027, driven by easing mortgage rates. Significant declines appear to be behind us.
Is it the right time to buy an apartment in Paris?
Conditions are favourable for buyers in 2026: more choice (supply up 30%), less competition, negotiation margins of 5-8% on average. Mortgage rates, around 3.2%, remain higher than in 2021 but are stabilising. For buyers with a solid deposit (15-20%), this is a window of opportunity.
What is the impact of mortgage rates on the Paris market?
The rise in rates from 1% to 4% between 2021 and 2023 reduced borrowing capacity by 20-25%. This particularly impacted family apartments (3-4 rooms) and first-time buyers. Stabilisation around 3-3.5% is enabling a gradual return of solvent buyers.
What types of properties sell fastest in Paris?
Small units (studios, 1-beds) remain the most liquid, driven by investors and first-time buyers. Prestige properties (1M+) also sell well, as international clientele pay cash. Family apartments (3-4 rooms) in good condition have the longest selling times but offer the best negotiation margins.

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Sources and methodology

Analysis based on the public French DVF database (DGFiP), Notaires du Grand Paris indices and the 1,200+ transactions assisted by Home Select since 2011. Data vintage: April 2026. Last editorial review: August 1, 2026.